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Roubini’s Popularity vs. S&P 500

EKONOMI TÜRK posted an interesting article on the popularity of “Dr. Doom” A.K.A Nouriel Roubini and the level of the S&P 500.  His conclusion:

“If he is indeed Dr. Realist, his name’s popularity should be positively correlated with the S&P 500 index. However, if he is indeed Dr. Doom, his popularity should be negatively correlated with S&P 500 index. …

1 unit increase in Roubini’s popularity is associated with a 114 point decline in S&P 500 index. His popularity was 5.5 in March 2009 and it is 1 now, so this implies that S&P 500 index should increase by about 114*4.5= 513 points since March 2009. Considering that S&P 500 was around 680 when Roubini’s popularity peaked the last time, our regression tells us that S&P 500 index should be around 1200 today.”


Read the full post here.

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  1. Bill Luby says

    Good stuff. FWIW, I had a similar post last June, Roubini and the VIX which was intended to be half-serious and half-humorous, but quite a few people found interesting.

    Cheers,

    -Bill



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