Skip to content



Volatility Arbitrage



There is a broad  misconception that options have a “cost”.  This perception is derived from the fact that put buyers are “buying downside protection” while call buyers are purchasing upside rights without downside risk.  The thought is that if you are buying protection, then it costs much like car or house insurance costs.  In many cases, this can be true because there is a risk premium built into option prices.  That risk premium is simply the difference between what implied volatilities are priced into options  and what realized volatility turns out to be.  The difference between the implied volatility and the realized volatility of the option is its cost.  The problem with saying it is a *cost* is the fact that realized volatility can most definitely end up being higher than the implied volatility of the option.  You can read more about this in Volatility Selling Strategies.

The bottom line is that an option should be sold or purchased simply based upon your perception of the relative value embedded in the implied volatility assumption.  If the implied volatility seems low relative to your future expectations, then you should be an option buyer.  If implied volatility seems high relative to future expectations, you should be an option seller.  There are many traders who consider themselves exclusively volatility sellers and they primarily sell spreads, condors etc.  I can tell you that they are missing half of the show…

This conversation flows naturally the previous thoughts on gamma trading, so we will expand upon capturing positive or negative implied volatility premiums in a future example.

 

Share and Enjoy:
  • Print
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Blogplay
  • Reddit

Related posts:

  1. Focusing on Volatility Skew
  2. Long-Dated Volatility Opportunities
  3. Collapsing Volatility
  4. Volatility Selling Strategies
  5. Long Dated Versus Short Dated Volatility

Posted in Derivatives, Markets.

Tagged with , , , , .


2 Responses

Stay in touch with the conversation, subscribe to the RSS feed for comments on this post.

Continuing the Discussion

  1. Thursday links: process over outcome | Abnormal Returns linked to this post on March 29, 2012

    [...] How to think about options trading.  (SurlyTrader) [...]

  2. Volatility Arbitrage | TTG Trading linked to this post on July 31, 2012

    [...] The Surly Trader – Explaining Volatility Arbitrage [...]



Some HTML is OK

or, reply to this post via trackback.


Get Adobe Flash playerPlugin by wpburn.com wordpress themes
DISCLAIMER - The content of this site is for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not to be viewed as trade recommendations or financial advice from the author. The author is not a registered investment adviser. There is no substitute for your own due diligence. Please be aware that investing is inherently a risky business and if you chose to follow any of the advice on this site, then you are accepting the risks associated with that investment. SurlyTrader and its agents assume no responsibility for any consequence relating directly or indirectly to any action or inaction you take based on the information, services or other material on this site. While SurlyTrader strives to keep the information on this site accurate, complete, and up-to-date, SurlyTrader and its suppliers cannot guarantee, and will not be responsible for any damage or loss related to, the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information The Author may have also taken positions in the stocks that are being discussed and the author may change his position at any time without warning.

Copyright © 2009-2013 SurlyTrader

Yellow Pages for USA and Canada SurlyTrader - Blogged ypblogs.com